New Website Launches Today!

Thank you for reading my blog posts on this website.  Today, I’m launching a new website.  It’s available at http://GreatNewsForAmerica.com .  It is named for my newest book that is entitled: Great News for America.

I now call http://GerardLameiro.com my legacy website.  It was started about 2009 and it has been my website for the past six or so years.

My legacy website needed to be updated from a technical perspective.  Also, the link for my legacy website was probably difficult for some listeners of TV and Talk Radio shows to remember, since the spelling of my name might not be easy for everyone.  Both my first and last names can be difficult to remember.

Today’s blog post is now available on my new website, http://GreatNewsForAmerica.com .  My plan is to put future blog posts on the new website only.  This legacy website will probably remain for a while.

I hope you will make my new website a favorite website for you to visit in the future.  I also hope you will read a copy of my new book on the 2016 presidential election, Great News for America. It is an enthusiastic, optimistic, and positive vision for the 2016 presidential election and America’s future.

God bless you.

God bless America.

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Who Won Last Night’s Republican Presidential Debate?

At times it was really a bit heated on Tuesday night in Las Vegas.  As we fast approach the Iowa caucuses, there was more pressure on the Republican presidential candidates to try to boost their poll numbers in front of a national audience.  There were squabbles and stressed expressions and a few light-hearted moments.  But, who were the winners?  Will Trump maintain his sizable, national lead in the polls?  Will Cruz continue on top in Iowa?  Will Carson stop his decline?  Plus, who won the Cruz – Rubio battle for #2 spot?  Did Bush improve his numbers?  Here’s are my thoughts written after the debate ended …

Trump – Seemed like the same Trump the voters have pushed to the top of the polls.  Was able to deflect negative questions.  Still seemed forceful and strong.  Able to explain his “sometimes bold” statements in rather straight-forward, simple answers.  Committed strongly to running and/or supporting the Republican ticket and avoiding running as an independent, third party candidate.

Cruz – Got the most air time.  In my view, Cruz won the debate by being presidential, being positive with Trump, and articulating strong positions on global terrorism and immigration.  Defended against attacks by Rubio very well.  Left Rubio looking frustrated.  Attacked Rubio very effectively.  Also, countered pro-Rubio ads.  Had the best laugh line of the night, about that he was going to build a wall on our southern border, and he was going to make … “Trump pay for it.”  Even Trump laughed.

Carson – Once again, thoughtful and cerebral.  Had good answers on ISIS and global terrorism.  But, did not have a commanding presence.  Doubt if Carson will back bounce again.

Rubio – In my view, Rubio lost the debate and will drop in the next few polls.  Did not seem any match for Cruz or Trump.

Bush – Seemed to have a better debate.  Yet, he still came across as tentative, bland and stiff.  Don’t expect his poll numbers to improve.

Big Question After the Debate – If Bush stays around 4% and Rubio drops from about 12% to 9%, who will take up the mantle of the “establishment” candidate?  It might be Chris Christie, especially since he is rising in recent New Hampshire polls.

Overall Race – It continues to look like Trump and Cruz are the top two Republican presidential candidates, with Trump the tough, street smart, fighter personality, and with Cruz being the solid conservative leader, who is an outstanding debater and who has in-depth policy knowledge.

New Book Coming Soon -

My new book about the exciting and surprising 2016 critical presidential election is launching on Tuesday, January 5th.  It’s called Great News for America and it makes ten stunning predictions that will happen before, during and after the 2016 presidential election.  You will not want to miss this optimistic book for America and its future.  Thanks to the efficiencies of publishing, it’s actually available now at Amazon in a print edition.  The Kindle edition will be available in about another week.  A new website GreatNewsForAmerica.com is available now too.  Please contact Sandy Frazier if you want to schedule Dr. Lameiro for a guest interview on his new book Great News for America.

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Will Cruz Now Cruise to the Republican Nomination?

The latest Monmouth University poll was released on Monday and Cruz now is in the #1 spot in Iowa.  Importantly, Carson dropped 19% since the last Monmouth University poll in which Carson was in the #1 spot.  That, of course, seems to trace back to voters perceiving Carson as weak on global terrorism.  Carson voters appear to have largely moved to Cruz.  Now, we are about eight weeks from the Iowa caucuses and about nine weeks from the New Hampshire primary.  Cruz appears to be gaining momentum, not only in Iowa, but also nationally.  Will Cruz now cruise to the Republican nomination?  Let’s discuss the Republican presidential race in more detail now …

What’s the Latest in Iowa?

The Monmouth University poll for Iowa released on Monday provides these results:

  • Cruz – 24%
  • Trump – 19%
  • Rubio – 17%
  • Carson – 13%
  • Bush – 6%
  • Paul – 4%
  • Fiorina and Kasich – 3%
  • Christie and Huckabee – 2%
  • Santorum – 1%
  • Graham – <1%
  • Gilmore and Pataki – 0%

The number of voters in the sample was 425.  The Margin of Error is +/- 4.8%.  Significantly, the poll indicates that turnout for the Iowa caucus might be about 140,000.  That would be a record high turnout for the past 35 years.  Previous high was 122,000 voters.  This is consistent with the record turnout I envision for the presidential election in my new book scheduled to launch Tuesday, January 5th.  Watch for more details on the new book coming soon.

Note that Monmouth University changed their polling methodology slightly, since their last poll.  This poll included some general election voters, not just primary voters.  If the old model was used, Cruz and Rubio would be higher and Trump lower.

What’s the Latest in New Hampshire?

Trump still leads Cruz 27% to 13% with Rubio in the #3 spot with 11%.  Bush has 5%.  This is from Public Policy Polling on Thursday, December 3rd.

Momentum in New Hampshire goes to Cruz and Christie.  Cruz has gone from 6th place to 2nd place.  Christie has gone from 9th place to 4th place.

What’s the Latest in National Polls?

In the CNN/ORC poll released on last Friday, Trump led Cruz 36% to 16% with Carson in 3rd place at 14% and Rubio in 4th place at 12%.

Who’s Got the Overall Momentum?  Does It Matter?

It appears that it’s still a two person race between Trump and Cruz.  It also seems like Cruz has the overall momentum.  Voter momentum is a critical parameter in predicting election results.  Given the strength of his current momentum, it’s possible that Cruz will cruise to the Republican nomination.  But, of course, many things can still impact the final result, just as the Paris attacks knocked Carson out of the #2 slot.

Dr. Lameiro’s New Book is Coming Soon

Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the critical presidential election of 2016 is coming soon – Tuesday, January 5th.  It makes ten stunning predictions that will happen before, during, and after this vitally important election.  Sandy Frazier will be managing Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour.  If you are a TV or Talk Radio Host or Producer, please request an early copy of Dr. Lameiro’s new book.  This is the one book on the presidential election that you will not want to miss.

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Should We Expect an Uncivil, “Civil War of Words” in the Republican Party Next?

As we rapidly approach the Republican presidential caucuses and primaries in about two months, should we expect to see an uncivil, “civil war of words?”  It’s true that Trump and Cruz appear to be methodically moving ahead in the presidential nomination race.  Please see my blog post from last week for more details on Trump and Cruz.  If that continues to turn out true, no “establishment” Republican candidate will be nominated by the Republican Party.  It’s reasonable to expect that Republicans and the mainstream media will not rollover and give up.  Starting very soon, we can expect to see an all out assault on Trump and Cruz.  Let’s discuss this situation now …

What Will an Uncivil, “Civil War of Words” Look Like?

  1. Republican Candidate Rhetoric Heats Up Dramatically – Establishment Republican candidates and other anti-establishment Republican candidates will probably begin to make major attacks on Trump and Cruz.  The caucus and primary season will fly by and the next two months might be their only chance to change the dynamics of the race.  If a candidate only gets 1% in the polls by March 15th, it would take a miracle to get the nomination next summer at the convention.
  2. Attack Ads Increase in Quantity and Negativity - Ads attacking Trump and Cruz will proliferate.  Millions of dollars of attack ads will probably be directed against Trump and Cruz.  Trump’s motive for running and his conservative credentials will be questioned.  Cruz will be attacked for not being a loyal Republican and ”extremism.”
  3. Mainstream Media (MSM) Will Likely Try to “Trump” Up Stories against Trump and Cruz. If we knew what stories might come up in the next two months, we might be completely surprised today.  Honesty and integrity might not even be a factor in developing these stories.  Remember, the mainstream media always seem to prefer a weak Republican candidate to make it easier for a progressive or socialist candidate to win.  Another John McCain or Mitt Romney would probably suit the MSM just fine.

Who Will Win the Uncivil, “Civil War of Words?”

The American people are ultimately going to win.  They know that the MSM is no longer even remotely fair and unbiased.  They recognize the progressive socialist narratives in the news.  They are tuning out the MSM and negative stories about the Republican candidates they favor.  They will vote for strong conservative candidates in 2016.

For More Information

The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he makes ten stunning predictions that will impact America for years to come. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.

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Is the Republican Presidential Race Now Down to Just 2 Candidates – Trump and Cruz?

For the last few weeks, the Republican presidential nomination race has been effectively narrowed down to four candidates: Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz.  With the terrible Paris attacks and the candidates reaction to those attacks, the polls have moved dramatically.  Trump has solidified his significant lead and the #1 spot.  Carson’s support has dropped precipitously in some places.  Rubio and Cruz have moved upwards.  But, even more importantly, we might now be able to predict who the final two candidates will probably be.  Of course, in a dynamic race, with global events taking place all around us, things could change quickly.   Who are the most likely top 2 candidates?  Why?  Let’s discuss the latest in the Republican presidential nomination race now …

What’s the Impact of the Paris Attacks and the Republican Presidential Candidates’ Reactions?  What are Voters Thinking?

I don’t think there is much question that the Paris attacks shook France, Europe and the voters in America.  Rather than thinking that ISIS is contained, American voters now realize that ISIS is a very real threat to America.  In their view, the homeland is now at considerable risk of terror attacks.

Voters now primarily seek a strong, conservative president that will be a tough, commander-in-chief that will win any terrorist war we might have to fight in the next few years.  They also reject progressive “soft-on-terrorist” policies of the current administration.  In addition, they are clearly against allowing large numbers of unvetted or inadequately vetted Middle East refugees into America that might actually be ISIS soldiers or terrorists masked as refugees.  To voters, the risk is simply too high.  Protecting America and their families is issue #1 for voters.

As a result, Trump has gone higher in the polls and Carson with his initial weak-sounding response to the Paris attacks dropped in the minds of many voters (who generally admire his character and accomplishments as a neurosurgeon).  I think many voters seem to be saying they are unsure Carson has the toughness to be a strong commander-in-chief.  Rubio and Cruz benefitted as well from their reactions to the Paris attacks.

Who are the Top 2 Contenders for the Republican Presidential Nomination Based on Current Polls, Policies and Trends?

It appears to me now that Carson is trending downward and will no longer be in the #2 spot in a few weeks.  Rubio and Cruz are currently fighting it out for the #2 slot.  Both are good on foreign policy.  Of the two, Cruz is perceived as being much stronger on immigration than Rubio.  This is the main reason why Rubio hasn’t done better among conservatives thus far in the race.

Cruz is strong on immigration like Trump, but without Trump’s (or Carson’s) explosive rhetoric.  Incidentally, this might ultimately be the reason Cruz gets the nomination over Trump … what I now call the “explosive rhetoric factor.”

As of today,  I think the top 2 contenders in the Republican presidential nomination race are Donald Trump and Ted Cruz.  I also think as other establishment candidates fall in the polls, Rubio will get their support.  Rubio will be the de facto establishment candidate.

Expect Bush supporters and donors to move toward Rubio as the best establishment alternative to Trump and Cruz.

Who Will the Republican Team Ultimately Be?

A Trump/Cruz team is very conceivable.  A Cruz/Jindal team is a real possibility as well.  If Rubio got the presidential nomination, I can see Rubio/Fiorina, Rubio/Carson, or Rubio/Kasich as definite possibilities.

For More Information

The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he dives into the why’s. Plus, importantly, what’s likely to happen. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.

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Were the Paris Attacks a Botched Assassination Attempt?

It has been suggested that the attacks in Paris this past weekend were not just a terrorist attack against helpless citizens, but a coordinated attack meant to assassinate French President Hollande.  All together there were about six locations for the attacks that took place in about a 30 minute time period.  It’s possible some of these attacks were meant to be distractions and diversions to potentially throw President Hollande’s security force off guard.  Remember that President Hollande was in attendance at Stade de France, the first location to be hit.  Were these attacks a botched assassination attempt?  Has ISIS changed its strategy?  Is ISIS growing more powerful?  Will Obama change America’s strategy toward ISIS?  What would the Republican candidates do differently, if elected president?  Let’s discuss ISIS, its terrorist attacks, and American foreign policy next …

Were the Paris Attacks a Botched Assassination Attempt against President Hollande?

In the absence of solid intelligence, we might never know the answer to that question accurately.  The fact that President Hollande was at the scene of a terrorist attack brings that question to mind.  In addition, since there were multiple terrorist attacks during the same time period lends further credence to the assassination possibility.  Three gunmen at one site told police that they were retaliating for France’s airstrikes in Syria and Iraq.  Assassinating the French president might be one way to try to change French foreign policy.

Is ISIS Changing Strategy or Growing More Powerful?

ISIS goals are to establish a caliphate and to destroy America and Israel.

ISIS is threatening to take the attack to America.  One ISIS website stated:  “American blood is the best blood.”

It also seems to be growing from a terrorist organization into a full-fledged terrorist State.  It controls land about the size of Indiana.  As a terrorist State, it has resources available to wage a war much like a regular nation.  ISIS has tax revenues, has cash flow, has potential experts in areas like biological and chemical warfare.  It has other capabilities.  It has outposts in about six Gulf countries.

Will President Obama Change his Strategy with regard to ISIS?

No, he seems to be doubling down on his “treat them gently” policy with some benign photo optics to show Americans “we care about the problem.”  With regard to immigration, Obama wants to keep Syrians coming into America, despite the fact that no amount of vetting can guarantee terrorists aren’t coming into America with these waves of immigrants.

What Will Republican Presidential Candidates Do with regard to ISIS, if Elected?

Here are some of their ideas from recent news reports or their websites or social media:

Trump – Bomb ISIS.

Bush – Declare War on ISIS.

Cruz – ISIS strategy: “We win, they lose.”

Kasich – Urging France to invoke Nato’s Article 5 which would allow the U. S. to come to its aid militarily.  Setting up a “no-fly zone.”  Arming the Kurds.

Graham - Urging France to invoke Nato’s Article 5.  “Hit them before they hit us.”  “Fight them in their backyard, not our backyard.”

Rubio – Urging France to invoke Nato’s Article 5.

Carson – Would ask all traditional allies and all Arab States to come to France’s aid.

For More Information -


The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he dives into the why’s. Plus, importantly, what’s likely to happen. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.

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Posted in Presidential Elections, Terrorism | Comments closed

Republican Presidential Candidates vs. Mainstream Media – Who Will Win?

The Politico article about Ben Carson opened up the issue again.  The recent Republican presidential debate hosted by CNBC and their relentless attack questions fueled the issue too.  The reality is that the mainstream media makes no pretense of being objective journalists any more.  They are partisans with a definite agenda.  They are attacking the Republican presidential candidates.  Of course, progressive and socialist candidates get essentially a free ride with softball questions.  The Republican presidential candidates versus the mainstream media (MSM) – who is going to win?  Let’s talk about the issue now …

How Does the Mainstream Media (MSM) Work Today?

The MSM spend their time and resources attacking the Republican presidential candidates.  The higher a Republican candidate goes up in the polls, the better the chances they will be attacked.

The attacks take many forms.  They can be attack questions at a debate.  Remember these CNBC debate questions:

  • “Mr. Trump … Let’s be honest.  Is this a comic book version of a presidential campaign?”
  • “Senator Rubio … You have a lack of bookkeeping skills….It raises the question whether you have the maturity and wisdom to lead this $17 trillion economy. What do you say?”

They can also be attack interviews on-air, or attack articles in the media itself.  Of course, they can attack anything you said in a current book or anything you said 30 years ago.  They can also imply things a candidate never really said.

Even if an attack is totally proven to be false, enough people might have read the headlines and some lasting damage might have stuck.

The bottom line is the MSM attacks the Republican presidential candidates.

How Does the MSM not Work Today?

They don’t criticize progressive or socialist candidates for office.  They also don’t attack candidates on the other side.  They give them softball questions in the debate, not attack questions.  They also fail to disclose important points, facts and serious issues about progressives and socialists.

What Will the Republican Candidates Do to Deal with the Obvious Major Bias of the MSM?

I expect counter-attacks against individuals attack questions, against MSM hosts and reporters, against columnists and others that are unfair or dishonest.

I don’t think the Republican candidates will sit back in this presidential election and take it.  I think the American people are angry, frustrated and upset with the bias and unfairness of the media.  I think the Republican candidates will counter-attack the MSM.

How are the American People Reacting to the MSM?

As I have written in January 2015, it’s clear that the business model of the MSM has been breaking down in recent years. Loss of listeners, loss of readers, loss of trust in the content … all have resulted in loss of revenues and profits. Remember, most MSM outlets are businesses that require revenues and profits to stay afloat, unless of course, someone subsidizes their activities. As listeners and readers have left the MSM, so too, advertisers have fled the MSM.

I have predicted that we can expect the end of the mainstream media (as we have known it).  They have lost their credibility and their monopoly.

Americans will continue to vote with their pocketbooks to listen to the new media, social media and Talk Radio.

For More Information
The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he dives into the why’s. Plus, importantly, what’s likely to happen. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.


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Carson Ahead of Trump – What’s Next?

In the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll on Tuesday, November 3rd, Carson has moved ahead of Trump 29% – 23%. That’s the second of three major national polls that show Carson has become the frontrunner in the race for Republican presidential nomination. Is this a major polling change or a temporary post-debate bump? Will Trump drop out rather than be #2? Let’s discuss these questions and more now …

What are Polling Numbers Now for the Top 5 Candidates?

Tuesday, November 3 – NBC/WSJ – Carson 29, Trump 23, Rubio 11, Cruz 10, Bush 8, Others 3 or lower

Saturday, October 31 – IBD/TIPP – Trump 28, Carson 23, Rubio 11, Cruz 6, Bush 6, Others 3 or lower

Tuesday, October 27 – CBS/New York Times – Carson 26, Trump 22, Bush 7, Fiorina 7, Others 4 or lower

Clearly, in the most recent three national polls, Carson and Trump are in a virtual tie nationally.  But, Carson is trending up and Trump is trending down.  Rubio and Cruz are virtually tied for third place.  Bush and Fiorina generally are lagging behind, except for the CBS/New York Times poll from about one week ago.  The others don’t seem to have much traction in the polls.

Will Donald Trump Pull Out of the Race if He Sinks to the #2 or #3 Spot?

In my opinion, Trump is only comfortable in a top role in any organization.  I don’t think he would accept the Republican VP nomination.

If Trump Pulls Out, Can Rubio or Cruz Challenge Carson for the Top Spot?

In my opinion, yes.  I think the voters are looking more closely at the content of each candidate’s views now.  Rubio and Cruz seem to both be funded and well-positioned to move ahead, if voters like their plans.

What about Bush and Fiorina and the All the Others?

Bush has re-booted his campaign for about the fifth time and does not seem to be gaining much traction or momentum.  Fiorina did not get another bounce after the third debate.  In my opinion, Bush, Fiorina and all the other candidates need to start moving quickly, if they want to be seen as viable candidates against the top four – Carson, Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.

For More Information
The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he dives into the why’s. Plus, importantly, what’s likely to happen. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.

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Posted in Presidential Elections | Comments closed

Will the Republican Presidential Race Get Shaken Up This Week?

There’s no question the race has been heating up and we can expect some surprises and a potential shakeup this week.  We can also expect the number of candidates to fall from 14 down to a more manageable number between now and Thanksgiving.  What can we expect in the Republican Presidential Debate this week and what can we expect in the aftermath to the debate?  Let’s talk about it now …

First, When and Where is the Next Republican Presidential Debate?

The third Republican Presidential Debate takes place this week on Wednesday, October 28th, in Boulder, Colorado at the University of Colorado Coors Events Center. The main debate starts at 8 pm ET, while the runner up debate starts at 6 pm ET. It’s hosted by CNBC. The moderators are CNBC’s Carl Quintanilla, Becky Quick, and John Harwood.

Who’s in the Main Debate?  Who’s in the Runner Up Debate?

Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, John Kasich, and Rand Paul are in the main debate for a total of 10 candidates.  The runner up debate consists of the remaining 4 candidates: Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, George Pataki, and Lindsey Graham.

What is Possibly the Most Important “Debate-within-a-Debate?”

Keep your eyes on the interaction between Donald Trump and Ben Carson.  Obviously, they have been the top two candidates in the polls and last week, their rivalry heated up over religion.  Is Trump going to be able to criticize Ben Carson and continue to lead in the polls?  Or, will attacking Ben Carson (who has the highest favorability rating of any candidate in either party) backfire on Trump and propel Ben Carson into the #1 spot in next week’s polls?

Ben Carson is making headway slowly and quietly.  His poll numbers are improving and the Trump-Carson polling gap seems to be shrinking.  Yet, Trump remains the clear frontrunner.

The Trump-Carson debate-within-a-debate has the potential to really shake up this Republican presidential race this week.  It’s worth watching closely.

Another “Debate-within-a-Debate is between Donald Trump and Jeb Bush?

Jeb Bush is attempting to make a comeback after recent meetings with supporters that were attended by his family members.  Jeb was in the headlines Monday morning criticizing Trump for not being ”serious” and getting policy advice from “the shows.”

If Jeb Bush is to be taken seriously himself, he needs to move up in the polls.  Expect Jeb to attack Trump.  But, will his attacks come across as weak?  Plus, how will Trump handle Jeb’s attacks?

The Trump-Bush debate-within-a-debate might make or break the Bush campaign.  Of course, even if Jeb Bush does not decisively handle Trump, he will likely stay in the race for as long as possible.

What Can We Expect from the Other Candidates?

You can expect all the other candidates to have two or three clever, one-liners ready to use whenever they get a chance to speak.  They will have a zinger or two and probably at least one headline-grabbing “shocking statement.”

The other candidates need to rise above the crowd literally, if they hope to have any chance of getting the nomination.

Carly Fiorina will hope to repeat her post-debate #2 bounce that quickly faded out.

What about the Eight Candidates with less than a 4% Polling Average?

There are now two tiers of candidates that are broken down at the 4% average polling number.  Eight candidates are less than 4% in the average of major polls.  They probably can’t stay in the race much longer and be considered viable.  I expect to see many of them leave the race very soon and probably before Thanksgiving.

With those eight candidates possibly suspending their campaigns, there are still six candidates available to choose from.

For More Information

The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he dives into the why’s. Plus, importantly, what’s likely to happen. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.

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Who Will Become the Republican VP Nominee?

Trump said this week that it’s too early to be mentioning a potential vice presidential nominee.  But, actually, it’s not too early to start thinking about possible vice presidential nominees.  Let’s talk about who will probably get the Republican presidential nomination and who they might choose for their vice presidential nominee now …

Where Does the Republican Presidential Nomination Stand?

On Monday, when this blog post is written, the Republican presidential polls have changed.  The Trump – Carson difference has continued to be closer than a few weeks ago.  According to the RealClear Politics average of recent polls, Trump and Carson are only about 2.6% apart.  In the most recent poll, the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll on Monday, Trump was ahead of Carson 25 – 22.  Last Wednesday’s FOX News poll, Trump had 24% and Carson 23%.  That’s only one point apart.  Compare that to a few weeks ago, when Trump was ahead of Carson by 10%, give or take.

In the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll on Monday, Marco Rubio is in third place.  Of interest, Ted Cruz had moved up into third place behind Trump and Carson in both the CBS News and the FOX News polls last week.  However, in the RealClear Politics average poll, Marco Rubio continues to be in third place.

Who Will Trump or Carson or Rubio or Cruz Pick for their VP Nominees, if they are Nominated?

With all the presidential candidates on the national stage, the Republican Party has a lot of potential vice presidential nominees.  The best pick depends on the presidential nominee.  Who makes sense for each of the current Republican presidential poll leaders?

1.  Trump – If Trump holds on to his polling lead and becomes the Republican presidential nominee, he has lots of choices for the VP slot.  Ben Carson would bring a strong evangelical Christian to the ticket that has been good at attracting support in the polls and raising campaign donations.  Ben Carson’s home State of Maryland is not thought to be in play and the 10 electoral votes are considered likely to go to the Democratic Party nominee.  So, his home State is not part of the electoral strategy most likely.  Ted Cruz, who is the senator from Texas and lives in Houston, Texas, would help to solidify its 38 electoral votes.  Ted Cruz likes Trump and seems to have a positive relationship with Trump.  He adds a lot of intellectual firepower, solid conservative credentials, and an outsider perspective.  He is also a top notch debater, having been a national debate champion twice.  Another possibility for Trump would be Carly Fiorina.  She is articulate and good with handling the press.  Carly lives in Virginia.

2.  Carson – If Ben Carson gets the nomination, no one will expect him to pick Trump for VP.  Trump is a CEO type personality and probably would never consider a number two spot on the ticket.  Again, Ted Cruz and Carly Fiorina are possible VP nominee choices.  Note that Ted Cruz has done a much better job at fund-raising then Carly Fiorina has done.

3.  Rubio – If Marco Rubio is able to get the nomination, he might select Ben Carson or John Kasich for his VP nominee.  Ben Carson offers somewhat similar views on some issues, while John Kasich offers geographical balance on the ticket and a possible help in obtaining Ohio’s important 18 electoral votes.

4.  Cruz – If Ted Cruz continues to slowly move up and gets the nomination, he might consider Carly Fiorina for her strengths as a campaigner.  But, her conservative stands are probably not as aligned with Ted Cruz as he might like.  Or, Ted Cruz  might select Marco Rubio to help carry the State of Florida, a swing State with 29 important electoral votes he needs to get to the winning total of 270.  He might also turn to Bobby Jindal, the governor of Louisiana, for his intellectual prowess and solid conservative policy positions.

What News Might We Expect between Now and the Third Republican Debate on October 28th in Boulder, Colorado?

I expect about three Republican presidential candidates will suspend their campaigns before October 28th.  If not, then I think they will suspend soon after the debate.  The most likely to leave is George Pataki former governor of New York whose current “burn rate” is 226%.

Burn rate is the % of campaign expenses divided by campaign donations received.  For example, a 200% burn rate means you are spending twice as much money as you are getting in campaign donations.

Again, George Pataki’s burn rate is 226%.  Bobby Jindal’s burn rate is 144%.  Mike Huckabee’s burn rate is 110%.

Pataki, Jindal and Huckabee, in my opinion, are mostly likely to suspend their campaigns soon.

Rand Paul and Lindsey Graham also have high burn rates.  But, I think they have higher cash balances to fall back on.

For More Information

The 2016 presidential election looks to be the most exciting, the most surprising, and the most provocative presidential election since 1896. In Dr. Lameiro’s new book on the 2016 presidential election, he dives into the why’s. Plus, importantly, what’s likely to happen. You will really want to be one of the first to read his new book on Tuesday, January 5th, 2016 when it is scheduled to launch. Note to Talk Radio Hosts – Sandy Frazier will be conducting Dr. Lameiro’s National Book Tour in January 2016.

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